Gold prices touched a new high on
Tuesday, reaching Rs 32,975 per 10 gm in New Delhi. Gold prices in India have
increased over 15% in the past one year. As discussed in my first blog dated 2nd
Oct QE3 or QuEstion3, the gold prices have moved in a predicted trajectory.
There are two things that set the price of gold in India;
one is the price of
gold in USD which moves due to qualms and quivers in the financial markets across
the globe and then the second the USD-INR exchange rate, which is very much a function
of current account deficit, which further depends upon various things.
One can very well argue that the
local price increase is a function of current festival and marriage season, but
globally the prices of gold are stable in a range between $1740 an ounce to
$1755 an ounce. This time around the price increase is solely due to the INR depreciation.
While INR has recently deprecated because of govt’s inability to enforce
various new policies, the logjam in the parliament continues and is keeping foreign
investors wondering.
But whatever the analysts and
experts say, I believe the rise in gold prices and depreciation in INR has more
reasons to it, read QE3 to get an insight.
"Banks have a role to play in dampening the enthusiasm for gold. I would urge all banks to please advise their branches that they should not encourage their customers to invest in or buy gold. I hope a day will come when we regard gold as any other metal, it just shines a little more than copper or bronze."
ReplyDeleteP Chidambaram
Finance Minister
on 06th June 2013